• WisPolitics

Saturday, June 13, 2009

 1:06 PM 

Two polls differ on Doyle vs. GOP opponents

A new poll released by Raleigh, N.C.-based Public Policy Polling shows Gov. Jim Doyle trailing both prospective GOP opponents in next year's gubernatorial race. But a poll commissioned by liberal blog Daily Kos gives the incumbent double-digit leads on both Scott Walker and Mark Neumann.

According to the poll by PPP, a Dem polling firm, Doyle trails Walker 48 percent to 40 percent head-to-head, and Neumann 42-41. The poll also shows Doyle with an approval rating of just 34 percent. The poll shows 33 percent of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of Walker and 26 percent have one of Neumann.

PPP surveyed 580 Wisconsin voters on June 9 and 10 by automated phone calls. The survey's margin of error is plus or minus 4.1 percent.

Thirty-nine percent of the poll respondents identified themselves as conservatives, 39 percent said they were moderates, and 22 percent liberals. Forty-two percent called themselves Dems, while 32 percent identified as Republicans and 26 percent as independent/other.

See the polling memo and press release:

The Daily Kos poll, released Friday, showed Doyle ahead of Walker 48-36 and ahead of Neumann 49-35. Doyle had a favorable rating of 43 and an unfavorable rating of 45 in the Kos poll; half of the sample had no opinion of Walker, while one-third had no opinion of Neumann.

The poll also has Doyle just behind former GOP Gov. Tommy Thompson, who has said he might consider another run.

Thompson's 47-45 lead over Doyle was well within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Thompson's favorable rating was 54 percent, compared to an unfavorable rating of 36 percent.

The poll of likely voters was conducted by Research 2000 June 8-10.

The survey also found Lt. Gov. Barb Lawton with similar numbers when paired up with the three Republicans. She led Walker (44-35) and Neumann (43-35) while trailing Thompson (46-44).

The survey also paired up U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold head-to-head with GOP U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan and former GOP U.S. Rep. Mark Green. Feingold had double-digit leads in both questions, though neither Republican has expressed an interest in running against him.

See the write up on the survey:

-- By Greg Bump


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